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A new analysis of the interaction of foreign policy and energy policy in China and its approach to security of energy supply. The authors argue that China's energy needs do not necessarily make it a threat.
Despite calls to moderate the US overseas military presence, Washington's strategic priorities and need to resurrect and bolster America's reputation among allies and adversaries appear to allow only marginal reductions.
A critical reassessment of Confidence-Building Measures (CBMs) as an effective diplomatic tool in the post-Cold War period.
Places the experiences and reactions of small arms-producing states in a global context. Describes the global rationalization and internationalization of armaments production and the emergence of a potentially revolutionary future for the development of the industry.
This Paper argues that prevailing in the `war¿ on terror, much like victory in the Cold War, entails containment, deterrence, outperformance and engagement. Military power is secondary to intelligence, law enforcement, enlightened social policy and diplomacy
Debates about military influence on civilian government tend to be partisan and rarely pay sufficient attention to specific contexts. This paper analyses, without condemnation or justification, why and how the military exercises such influence in Turkey and whether it is likely to continue to do so. It argues that the role of the military in Turkey grows out of a specific Turkish context and is more a symptom than a cause of the country's flawed democracy. It examines the Turkish officer ethos, particularly the role of the indigenous ideology of Kemalism, and the broad, though not universal, public mandate for an interventionist role in politics. It contends that the military's influence is neither uniform nor total and that it is more effective at blocking than initiating policy; thus creating a system in which civilian authority is primary rather than supreme. It analyses the mechanisms through which the military attempts to shape policy, and demonstrates how its influence depends more on its informal authority than legislated rights or responsibilities. The paper suggests that fears of threats to national security resulting from the reforms required for EU accession have made the military more, not less, reluctant to withdraw from the political arena. It concludes that, regardless of the future of Turkey's candidacy, such a withdrawal will be a slow and gradual process, dependent more on changes in Turkish social and political culture and the perceived security environment than in the military itself.
Of particular interest in the current, post-September 11, climate with increasing interest in terrorism and the Islamic dimension of it. Examines the nature of political change within Iran and assesses the degree to which it has and could affect that country's security policies. Analyses why Iran has persisted in policies in the Middle East that appear to be extreme and short-sighted.
The first study to appear on the international administrations of Bosnia, Eastern Salvonia (Croatia), Kosovo and East Timor. It is a major contribution to the literature on international organisations and conflict management, with particular regard to failed states and contested territories.
This book analyzes the provision of aid to countries that have undergone negotiated settlements to civil wars, drawing on recent experiences in Bosnia, Cambodia, El Salvador, and Guatemala.
It is argued that since the US and its allies appear unbeatable when fighting on their own terms, future opponents will fight differently. The West will therefore face opponents who will follow strategies that contradict the Western Way of Warfare.The challenge for the West is not how to prevail, but how to do so in an acceptable manner.
This paper examines the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia over the past five years, noting the increasing domestic pressure for change in both countries and analysing the prospect of Iraq's eventual return to regional politics.
Climate change has been a key factor in the rise and fall of societies and states from prehistory to the recent fighting in the Sudanese state of Darfur. The countries which will face increased risk are not necessarily the most fragile, nor those which will suffer the greatest physical effects of climate change.
Russia's state system has changed significantly since 1991, but the question of how the country should be governed has not been fully answered. This book argues that establishing an effective and regulated relationship between Russia's center and its regions requires greater decentralization, but devolution need not threaten Russia's integritiy if it is based on a greater respect for the rule of law.
Examines the challenges that exist to abolishing nuclear weapons, and suggests what can be done to start overcoming them. This survey begins looks at the challenge of verifying the transition to zero. It examines how the civilian nuclear industry could be managed in a nuclear-weapon free world in such a way as to avoid rearmament.
Examines the wide variety of Islam in South-east Asia; Derives policy recommendations for the US and its allies.
Tensions over Taiwan threaten to grow into a strategic crisis, amid the background of a deteriorating relationship between China and the United States - Brendan Taylor's new Adelphi book explores the potential triggers for a conflict over Taiwan and calls for the development of robust crisis-management mechanisms to avoid escalation.
This collection of historical case studies examines what enabled close US-Soviet non-proliferation cooperation during the Cold War and how this earlier experience can be meaningfully applied to reviving US-Russia non-proliferation engagement today.
The book explores South Africa s complex and difficult relationship with Africa in the post-apartheid era where South Africa has struggled to translate its economic, military and diplomatic weight into tangible foreign policy successes and enduring influence on the ground.
Fighting armed groups is an uncertain business, and so is negotiating. Doing both alternately, concurrently or selectively, is highly demanding. This book develops a framework to help analysts and policymakers understand the challenges of using a combination of coercion and diplomacy in dealing with armed groups. It considers which complexities have proved most inhibiting, and which have been worked around. What are the obvious traps that states fall into? What appear to be the smarter moves?
Lucie Beraud-Sudreau is a Senior Researcher and Director of the Arms and Military Expenditure Programme at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Sweden; former IISS Research Fellow for Defence Economics and Procurement (2016-20)
First Published in 2005. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
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