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As the new title indicates, this second edition of Log-Linear Models has been modi?ed to place greater emphasis on logistic regression. In addition to new material, the book has been radically rearranged. The fundamental material is contained in Chapters 1-4. Intermediate topics are presented in Chapters 5 through 8. Generalized linear models are presented in Ch- ter 9. The matrix approach to log-linear models and logistic regression is presented in Chapters 10-12, with Chapters 10 and 11 at the applied Ph.D. level and Chapter 12 doing theory at the Ph.D. level. The largest single addition to the book is Chapter 13 on Bayesian bi- mial regression. This chapter includes not only logistic regression but also probit and complementary log-log regression. With the simplicity of the Bayesian approach and the ability to do (almost) exact small sample s- tistical inference, I personally ?nd it hard to justify doing traditional large sample inferences. (Another possibility is to do exact conditional inference, but that is another story.) Naturally,Ihavecleaneduptheminor?awsinthetextthatIhavefound. All examples, theorems, proofs, lemmas, etc. are numbered consecutively within each section with no distinctions between them, thus Example 2.3.1 willcomebeforeProposition2.3.2.Exercisesthatdonotappearinasection at the end have a separate numbering scheme. Within the section in which it appears, an equation is numbered with a single value, e.g., equation (1).

Our initial motivation for writing this book was the observation from various students that the subject of design and analysis of experiments can seem like "e;a bunch of miscellaneous topics. "e;Webelievethattheidenti?cationoftheobjectivesoftheexperimentandthepractical considerations governing the design form the heart of the subject matter and serve as the link between the various analytical techniques. We also believe that learning about design and analysis of experiments is best achieved by the planning, running, and analyzing of a simple experiment. With these considerations in mind, we have included throughout the book the details of the planning stage of several experiments that were run in the course of teaching our classes. The experiments were run by students in statistics and the applied sciences and are suf?ciently simple that it is possible to discuss the planning of the entire experiment in a few pages, and the procedures can be reproduced by readers of the book. In each of these experiments, we had access to the investigators' actual report, including the dif?culties they came across and how they decided on the treatment factors, the needed number of observations, and the layout of the design. In the later chapters, we have included details of a number of published experiments. The outlines of many other student and published experiments appear as exercises at the ends of the chapters. Complementing the practical aspects of the design are the statistical aspects of the anal ysis. We have developed the theory of estimable functions and analysis of variance with somecare,butatalowmathematicallevel.

Applying Generalized Linear Models describes how generalized linear modelling procedures can be used for statistical modelling in many different fields, without becoming lost in problems of statistical inference. Many students, even in relatively advanced statistics courses, do not have an overview whereby they can see that the three areas - linear normal, categorical, and survival models - have much in common. The author shows the unity of many of the commonly used models and provides the reader with a taste of many different areas, such as survival models, time series, and spatial analysis. This book should appeal to applied statisticians and to scientists with a basic grounding in modern statistics. With the many exercises included at the ends of chapters, it will be an excellent text for teaching the fundamental uses of statistical modelling. The reader is assumed to have knowledge of basic statistical principles, whether from a Bayesian, frequentist, or direct likelihood point of view, and should be familiar at least with the analysis of the simpler normal linear models, regression and ANOVA. The author is professor in the biostatistics department at Limburgs University, Diepenbeek, in the social science department at the University of Liege, and in medical statistics at DeMontfort University, Leicester. He is the author of nine other books.

Intended as the text for a sequence of advanced courses, this book covers major topics in theoretical statistics in a concise and rigorous fashion. The discussion assumes a background in advanced calculus, linear algebra, probability, and some analysis and topology. Measure theory is used, but the notation and basic results needed are presented in an initial chapter on probability, so prior knowledge of these topics is not essential.The presentation is designed to expose students to as many of the central ideas and topics in the discipline as possible, balancing various approaches to inference as well as exact, numerical, and large sample methods. Moving beyond more standard material, the book includes chapters introducing bootstrap methods, nonparametric regression, equivariant estimation, empirical Bayes, and sequential design and analysis.The book has a rich collection of exercises. Several of them illustrate how the theory developed in the book may be used in various applications. Solutions to many of the exercises are included in an appendix.

<div style="e;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"e;>Financial engineers have access to enormous quantities of data but need powerful methods for extracting quantitative information, particularly about volatility and risks. Key features of this textbook are: illustration of concepts with financial markets and economic data, R Labs with real-data exercises, and integration of graphical and analytic methods for modeling and diagnosing modeling errors. Despite some overlap with the author's undergraduate textbook <em>Statistics and Finance: An Introduction</em>, this book differs from that earlier volume in several important aspects: it is graduate-level; computations and graphics are done in R; and many advanced topics are covered, for example, multivariate distributions, copulas, Bayesian computations, VaR and expected shortfall, and cointegration. </div><div style="e;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"e;>The prerequisites are basic statistics and probability, matrices and linear algebra, and calculus.</div><div style="e;MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: normal"e;>Some exposure to finance is helpful.</div>

This book provides a versatile and lucid treatment of classic as well as modern probability theory, while integrating them with core topics in statistical theory and also some key tools in machine learning. It is written in an extremely accessible style, with elaborate motivating discussions and numerous worked out examples and exercises. The book has 20 chapters on a wide range of topics, 423 worked out examples, and 808 exercises. It is unique in its unification of probability and statistics, its coverage and its superb exercise sets, detailed bibliography, and in its substantive treatment of many topics of current importance.This book can be used as a text for a year long graduate course in statistics, computer science, or mathematics, for self-study, and as an invaluable research reference on probabiliity and its applications. Particularly worth mentioning are the treatments of distribution theory, asymptotics, simulation and Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Markov chains and martingales, Gaussian processes, VC theory, probability metrics, large deviations, bootstrap, the EM algorithm, confidence intervals, maximum likelihood and Bayes estimates, exponential families, kernels, and Hilbert spaces, and a self contained complete review of univariate probability.

This book is a novel exposition of the traditional workhorses of statistics: analysis of variance and regression. The key feature is that these tools are viewed in their natural mathematical setting, the geometry of finite dimensions. The Authors To introduce ourselves, Dave Saville is a practicing statistician working in agricultural research; Graham Wood is a university lecturer involved in the teaching of statistical methods. Each of us has worked for sixteen years in our current field. Features of the Book People like pictures. One picture can present a set of ideas at a glance, while a series of pictures, each building on the last, can unify a wealth of ideas. Such a series we present in this text by means of a systematic geometric approach to the presentation of the theory of basic statistical methods. This approach fills the void between the traditional extremes of the "e;cookbook"e; approach and the "e;matrix algebra"e; approach, providing an elementary but at the same time rigorous view of the subject. It combines the virtues of the traditional methods, while avoiding their vices.

This is the first half of a text for a two semester course in mathematical statistics at the senior/graduate level for those who need a strong background in statistics as an essential tool in their career. To study this text, the reader needs a thorough familiarity with calculus including such things as Jacobians and series but somewhat less intense familiarity with matrices including quadratic forms and eigenvalues. For convenience, these lecture notes were divided into two parts: Volume I, Probability for Statistics, for the first semester, and Volume II, Statistical Inference, for the second. We suggest that the following distinguish this text from other introductions to mathematical statistics. 1. The most obvious thing is the layout. We have designed each lesson for the (U.S.) 50 minute class; those who study independently probably need the traditional three hours for each lesson. Since we have more than (the U.S. again) 90 lessons, some choices have to be made. In the table of contents, we have used a * to designate those lessons which are "e;interesting but not essential"e; (INE) and may be omitted from a general course; some exercises and proofs in other lessons are also "e;INE"e;. We have made lessons of some material which other writers might stuff into appendices. Incorporating this freedom of choice has led to some redundancy, mostly in definitions, which may be beneficial.

Now available in paperback. This is a text comprising the major theorems of probability theory and the measure theoretical foundations of the subject. The main topics treated are independence, interchangeability,and martingales; particular emphasis is placed upon stopping times, both as tools in proving theorems and as objects of interest themselves. No prior knowledge of measure theory is assumed and a unique feature of the book is the combined presentation of measure and probability. It is easily adapted for graduate students familar with measure theory as indicated by the guidelines in the preface. Special features include: A comprehensive treatment of the law of the iterated logarithm; the Marcinklewicz-Zygmund inequality, its extension to martingales and applications thereof;  development and applications of the second moment analogue of Wald's equation; limit theorems for martingale arrays, the central limit theorem for the interchangeable and martingale cases, moment convergence in the central limit theorem; complete discussion, including central limit theorem, of the random casting of r balls into n cells; recent martingale inequalities; Cram r-L vy theore and factor-closed families of distributions. This edition includes a section dealing with U-statistic, adds additional theorems and examples, and includes simpler versions of some proofs.

Reliability analysis is concerned with the analysis of devices and systems whose individual components are prone to failure. This textbook presents an introduction to reliability analysis of repairable and non-repairable systems. It is based on courses given to both undergraduate and graduate students of engineering and statistics as well as in workshops for professional engineers and scientists. As aresult, the book concentrates on the methodology of the subject and on understanding theoretical results rather than on its theoretical development. An intrinsic aspect of reliability analysis is that the failure of components is best modelled using techniques drawn from probability and statistics. Professor Zacks covers all the basic concepts required from these subjects and covers the main modern reliability analysis techniques thoroughly. These include: the graphical analysis of life data, maximum likelihood estimation and bayesian likelihood estimation. Throughout the emphasis is on the practicalities of the subject with numerous examples drawn from industrial and engineering settings.

This classic text, first published in 1990, is designed to introduce law students, law teachers, practitioners, and judges to the basic ideas of mathematical probability and statistics as they have been applied in the law. The third edition includes over twenty new sections, including the addition of timely topics, like New York City police stops, exonerations in death-sentence cases, projecting airline costs, and new material on various statistical techniques such as the randomized response survey technique, rare-events meta-analysis, competing risks, and negative binomial regression. The book consists of sections of exposition followed by real-world cases and case studies in which statistical data have played a role. The reader is asked to apply the theory to the facts, to calculate results (a hand calculator is sufficient), and to explore legal issues raised by quantitative findings. The authors' calculations and comments are given in the back of the book. As with previous editions, the cases and case studies reflect a broad variety of legal subjects, including antidiscrimination, mass torts, taxation, school finance, identification evidence, preventive detention, handwriting disputes, voting, environmental protection, antitrust, sampling for insurance audits, and the death penalty. A chapter on epidemiology was added in the second edition. In 1991, the first edition was selected by the University of Michigan Law Review as one of the important law books of the year.

Portraying data graphically certainly contributes toward a clearer and more penetrative understanding of data and also makes sophisticated statistical data analyses more marketable. This realization has emerged from many years of experience in teaching students, in research, and especially from engaging in statistical consulting work in a variety of subject fields. Consequently, we were somewhat surprised to discover that a comprehen- sive, yet simple presentation of graphical exploratory techniques for the data analyst was not available. Generally books on the subject were either too incomplete, stopping at a histogram or pie chart, or were too technical and specialized and not linked to readily available computer programs. Many of these graphical techniques have furthermore only recently appeared in statis- tical journals and are thus not easily accessible to the statistically unsophis- ticated data analyst. This book, therefore, attempts to give a sound overview of most of the well-known and widely used methods of analyzing and portraying data graph- ically. Throughout the book the emphasis is on exploratory techniques. Real- izing the futility of presenting these methods without the necessary computer programs to actually perform them, we endeavored to provide working com- puter programs in almost every case. Graphic representations are illustrated throughout by making use of real-life data. Two such data sets are frequently used throughout the text. In realizing the aims set out above we avoided intricate theoretical derivations and explanations but we nevertheless are convinced that this book will be of inestimable value even to a trained statistician.

As an introductory textbook on the analysis of variance or a reference for the researcher, this text stresses applications rather than theory, but gives enough theory to enable the reader to apply the methods intelligently rather than mechanically. Comprehensive, and covering the important techniques in the field, including new methods of post hoc testing. The relationships between different research designs are emphasized, and these relationships are exploited to develop general principles which are generalized to the analyses of a large number of seemingly differentdesigns. Primarily for graduate students in any field where statistics are used.

All students and professionals in statistics should refer to this volume as it is a handy reference source for statistical formulas and information on basic probability distributions. It contains carefully designed and well laid out tables for standard statistical distributions (including Binomial, Poisson, Normal, and Chi-squared). In addition, there are several tables of Critical Values for various statistics tests.

Longitudinal data are ubiquitous across Medicine, Public Health, Public Policy, Psychology, Political Science, Biology, Sociology and Education, yet many longitudinal data sets remain improperly analyzed. This book teaches the art and statistical science of modern longitudinal data analysis. The author emphasizes specifying, understanding, and interpreting longitudinal data models. He inspects the longitudinal data graphically, analyzes the time trend and covariates, models the covariance matrix, and then draws conclusions. Covariance models covered include random effects, autoregressive, autoregressive moving average, antedependence, factor analytic, and completely unstructured models among others. Longer expositions explore: an introduction to and critique of simple non-longitudinal analyses of longitudinal data, missing data concepts, diagnostics, and simultaneous modeling of two longitudinal variables. Applications and issues for random effects models cover estimation, shrinkage, clustered data, models for binary and count data and residuals and residual plots. Shorter sections include a general discussion of how computational algorithms work, handling transformed data, and basic design issues.This book requires a solid regression course as background and is particularly intended for the final year of a Biostatistics or Statistics Masters degree curriculum. The mathematical prerequisite is generally low, mainly assuming familiarity with regression analysis in matrix form. Doctoral students in Biostatistics or Statistics, applied researchers and quantitative doctoral students in disciplines such as Medicine, Public Health, Public Policy, Psychology, Political Science, Biology, Sociology and Education will find this book invaluable. The book has many figures and tables illustrating longitudinal data and numerous homework problems. The associated web site contains many longitudinal data sets, examples of computer code, and labs to re-enforce the material. Robert Weiss is Professor of Biostatistics in the UCLA School of Public Health with a Ph.D. in Statistics from the University of Minnesota. He is expert in longitudinal data analysis, diagnostics and graphics, and Bayesian methods, and specializes in modeling of hierarchical and complex data sets. He has published over 50 papers a majority of which involves longitudinal data. He regularly teaches classes in longitudinal data analysis, multivariate analysis, Bayesian inference, and statistical graphics.

Graphic modelling is a form of multivariate analysis that uses graphs to represent models. These graphs display the structure of dependencies, both associational and causal, between the variables in the model. This textbook provides an introduction to graphical modelling with emphasis on applications and practicalities rather than on a formal development. It is based on the popular software package for graphical modelling, MIM, a freeware version of which can be downloaded from the Internet. Following an introductory chapter which sets the scene and describes some of the basic ideas of graphical modelling, subsequent chapters describe particular families of models, including log-linear models, Gaussian models, and models for mixed discrete and continuous variables. Further chapters cover hypothesis testing and model selection. Chapters 7 and 8 are new to the second edition. Chapter 7 describes the use of directed graphs, chain graphs, and other graphs. Chapter 8 summarizes some recent work on causal inference, relevant when graphical models are given a causal interpretation. This book will provide a useful introduction to this topic for students and researchers.

This book was written to myself at about the time I began graduate studies in anthropology-the sort of thing a Samuel Beckett character might do. It is about the conduct of research. In a very real sense the purpose is partially to compensate for the inadequacies of my professors. Perhaps this is what education is about. The effort has not been an unqualified success, but it has been extremely gratifying. I was trained in anthropology. After completing the Ph. D. I went to Stanford on a post-doctoral fellowship. At the time, this was a novelty and the depart- ment was not prepared for such a thing. To stay occupied I began attending lectures, seminars, and discussion groups in mathematics and statistics. This was about the luckiest choice I ever made. The excitement was easily as intense as that which I experienced upon encountering anthropology. On one oc- casion I innocently and independently proved a theorem that had first been done 2000 years earlier. It is currently used as an exercise in high school mathematics so it is neither difficult nor arcane. Learning all this did not tarnish my sense of discovery. (On reflection I am puzzled by my failure to have seen all this "e;beauty"e; when I was exposed to it as an undergraduate. The unparalleled excellence of the Stanford program was undoubtedly responsible for my belated conversion.

Linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) are an important class of statistical models that can be used to analyze correlated data. Such data are encountered in a variety of fields including biostatistics, public health, psychometrics, educational measurement, and sociology. This book aims to support a wide range of uses for the models by applied researchers in those and other fields by providing state-of-the-art descriptions of the implementation of LMMs in R. To help readers to get familiar with the features of the models and the details of carrying them out in R, the book includes a review of the most important theoretical concepts of the models. The presentation connects theory, software and applications. It is built up incrementally, starting with a summary of the concepts underlying simpler classes of linear models like the classical regression model, and carrying them forward to LMMs. A similar step-by-step approach is used to describe the R tools for LMMs. All the classes of linear models presented in the book are illustrated using real-life data. The book also introduces several novel R tools for LMMs, including new class of variance-covariance structure for random-effects, methods for influence diagnostics and for power calculations. They are included into an R package that should assist the readers in applying these and other methods presented in this text.