Bøger af Gary King

An easy reading 'coffee table' book, exploring the essence and outstanding beauty of the English landscape through a photographic journey during the magic hour. The period in time following sunrise and preceding sunset. Landscape photographer Gary King has captured a stunning collection of thought provoking images, over three years in the making. With over a hundred pages of gorgeous full colour photographs, these alluring landscapes capture the beauty of what mother nature is capable of. The photographs include a wide selection of landscapes, from barren, desolate moorland to wide, rugged coastal vistas. With it's uncoated, matt finish interior pages and gloss paperback cover, this is a wonderful, unpretentious 'magbook' style publication.

This book provides a solution to the ecological inference problem, which has plagued users of statistical methods for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level behavior from aggregate (ecological) data? In political science, this question arises when individual-level surveys are unavailable (for instance, local or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), insufficient (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference problem also confronts researchers in numerous areas of major significance in public policy, and other academic disciplines, ranging from epidemiology and marketing to sociology and quantitative history. Although many have attempted to make such cross-level inferences, scholars agree that all existing methods yield very inaccurate conclusions about the world. In this volume, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem. King begins with a qualitative overview, readable even by those without a statistical background. He then unifies the apparently diverse findings in the methodological literature, so that only one aggregation problem remains to be solved. He then presents his solution, as well as empirical evaluations of the solution that include over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from real aggregate data to the known individual-level answer. The method works in practice. King's solution to the ecological inference problem will enable empirical researchers to investigate substantive questions that have heretofore proved unanswerable, and move forward fields of inquiry in which progress has been stifled by this problem.

Shows how the likelihood theory of inference offers a unified approach to statistical modelling for political research and thus enables us to better analyse the enormous amount of data political scientists have collected over the years. This book is a landmark in the development of political methodology.