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In strategic competition against competitors that can outspend the United States (either individually or collectively), it is important to understand not only the efficacy but also the efficiency of campaigning measures. Unfortunately, neither the efficacy nor efficiency of overseas military campaigning measures beneath the threshold of armed conflict is well understood. In this report, the authors seek to address this gap and provide the foundations of a strategic evaluation and decision-support tool to inform U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) campaign planning--more specifically, to assist in choosing overseas operations, activities, and investments in a logically linked and sequenced plan in support of specific strategy-aligned objectives. The authors break down campaigns into three sets of factors: overseas campaigning instruments (or inputs), campaigning outcomes, and contextual factors that are likely to influence the effectiveness of campaigning instruments. To uncover broad patterns among interactions between the United States and its competitors and allies and partners, the authors conducted statistical analyses on whether U.S. strategic objectives have been more or less likely to be achieved when the United States employs a given overseas campaigning tool. The authors then provide rough-order-of-magnitude (ROM) cost estimates for each overseas campaigning tool.
The authors used quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state.
The authors examine three case studies among the United States' competitors to help anticipate what Chinese overseas access and basing might look like in the 2030s while assessing U.S. risks and opportunities posed by Chinese military expansion.
Journeys Across Breath collects poems from across the extraordinary career of Stephen Watts. Gathering all of Watts' published works between 1975 and 2005 - as well as a number of unpublished pieces - this collection is an astonishing journey through the life and eyes of a remarkable writer of place and people.
The two-part publication includes Hannes Schüpbach: Explosion of Words / Explosion der Wörter. Dedicated to Stephen Watts. With an essay by Jo CatlingStephen Watts: Explosion of Words / Explosion der Wörter. 19 Poems.With German translations by Hannes SchüpbachCentral to the themes of the Swiss artist Hannes Schüpbach are the moments from which art is created. With his latest work, "Explosion of Words", a cinematographic photo installation extending frieze-like over 24 metres, he responds to the lived spaces of the poet and language activist Stephen Watts, who is based in London and works between extensive research on poetry and his own contributions as a poet to the ongoing "explosion of words". As a part of this project, Hannes Schüpbach has translated a selection of Stephen Watts' poetry into German.Accompanies exhibitions at Nunnery Gallery, Bow Arts (London) and Strauhof (Zürich), in 2021.
This report examines U.S. institutional capacity-building programs for the security sectors of African partner governments and their potential role in strategic competition.
In this report, the authors seek to understand how the United States might use its military posture in Europe?particularly focusing on ground forces?as part of a strategy to deter Russian malign activities in the competition space.
This report establishes a strategic framework for U.S. Army special operations forces support to countering Russian activities in the competition space.
U.S. decisionmakers and a variety of analysts have generally agreed that broad-based, inclusive governance and institutionalized capacity-building consistent with the rule of law are the long-term goals for stabilizing fragile states. How to realize these goals is much more contentious. This report summarizes research on better understanding the use of leverage in nudging partners toward better governance practices after military interventions.
In this report, RAND researchers analyze options and recommend changes to improve the sustainability of security sector assistance in African partner nations, deriving insights from the development community.
A RAND Corporation study used statistical models to evaluate the impact that U.S.-provided SSA has had on political violence in Africa-in particular, the incidence of civil wars and insurgencies, terrorist attacks, and state repression.
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