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This book characterizes the discrete event simulation and analysis using ExtendSim 10. It is a blend between theory and application leaning largely to the weight of the latter. Since the ExtendSim 8 version of the book (13 years ago) there has been significant improvements to ExtendSim, including the new Reliability library incorporated in this new, enhanced edition of the first book. There are two new chapters, one include a model simulating software reliability and inherent availability and the other is a guided project addressing the Launch Availability of a crew launch vehicle (CLV) for a limited launch window.For those unfamiliar with the first edition, there is coverage of just-enough queuing theory for building discrete event models, using the M/M/1 queuing problem involving warmup and steady-state phenomena, as well as methods for analysis and corrective adjustments. Probability distributions and their inverse transfers for random sampling are covered. The StatFit application is used for fitting and analyzing data, including goodness of fit testing. Also, there is an in-depth treatment of random number generators. A bank model is used to demonstrate hierarchical modeling and basic simulation animation. Advanced queuing processes are addressed using a circuit board production example. Detailed modeling is covered using a delivery system transfer depot handing packages for domestic delivery.
This book characterizes the field of regression analysis beyond its traditional domain of mathematics and statistics. Simply speaking, regression is a technique that relates a dependent variable to one or more independent (explanatory) variables. A regression model can show whether changes observed in the dependent variable are associated with changes in one or more of the explanatory variables. Using this definition, regression methods are extended to machine learning. Consequently, the scope of this book is to present the applications of regression using the totality of methods (totum modum) one can employ in regression analysis:Linear regressionpolynomial regressiongeneral linear modelsvector generalized linear modelsbinomial regressionlogistic regressionmultinomial logistic regressionmultinomial probitordered logitmultilevel modelsfixed effectsrandom effectslinear mixed-effects modelnonlinear mixed-effects modelnonlinear regressionsupport vector regressionlasso regressionridge regressionnonparametricsemiparametricrobustquantileisotonicprincipal componentsUsing examples from the Space domain, including endoatmospheric and exoatmospheric environments, space weather, space launch, satellites, and ground sensors, many of these methods are applied. All examples are solved using the R programming language and all code and datasets are accessible from our GitHub site. Although written as a reference, the book can be adapted as an advanced textbook in regression analysis.
This book describes the mechanics or physics of resident space objects (RSOs) in orbits due to the gravitational force of the central mass, like the Earth. In other words, it's about the obit of satellites and other RSOs. Part 1 applies the laws of Newton and Kepler, considers 2-body and N-body problems, and explores Jacobi's constant and Lagrangian points. Using calculus, geometry, trigonometry, and algebra, it develops the equations of orbits and motion, transforms reference frames to other frames, like Cartesian to True Equator, Mean Equinox (TEME). The book investigates orbital maneuvers with applications like Hohmann transfers, and interplanetary trajectories hyperbolic departures. We develop the orbital parameters, like the semilatus rectum, mean anomaly, eccentricity, inclination, and argument of periapsis.Part 2 explores and implements the NORAD two-line element (TLE) set and uses the content to propagate state vectors( position and velocity) to plot orbits and ground tracks. We employ the SGD4 (LEO) propagator and SPD4 (deep space) propagator to validate orbits against Revisiting Spacetrack Report #3. We then use the results to project orbits forward in time and to simulate from selected orbital elements.
Predictive Crime Analysis using R is Dr. Strickland's second crime analysis book. In this volume, rather than using data to describe crime history, he uses it to predict crime using pattern created with advanced clustering methods, crime series linkage, and text analysis. Coverage includes prediction of conventional crime and terrorist attacks. The open-source software R is introduced and used in developing crime data, including Geo-spatial data, and constructing predictive models and performing post analysis.Using actual crime data from cities like Atlanta, Dr. Strickland also shows how to simulate additional data from actual data. Simulated data can then be used in cities with insufficient actual data, but with similar demographics and human behavior.
Dr. Jeffrey Strickland is a mathematician who carefully calculates the measures of things, even to the extent of subatomic particles unseen by the naked eye. As he did with bosons and photons in Quantum Phaith, he meticulously calculates the nature and impact of Lucifer, the fallen one.Taking a line from Flip Wilson's character, Geraldine Jones, Dr. Strickland proposes that we cannot blame all of our faults and failures on Satan. He suggests that by [sin] nature, we are perfectly capable of doing evil with no aid at all.For followers of Christ, Dr. Strickland affirms that the Devil is no match for the power of the Holy Spirit that indwells us. However, in order to be effective Christians, we must know our enemy and the environment that in which he operates.In ""The Devil did not Make Me Do it,"" you will learn to discern between Lies of Lucifer and the Truth.
This text presents the basic concepts of discrete event simulation using ExtendSim 8. The book can be used as either a desk reference or as a textbook for a course in discrete event simulation. This book is intended to be a blend of theory and application, presenting just enough theory to understand how to build a model, design a simulation experiment, and analyze the results. Most of the text is devoted to building models with ExtendSim 8, starting with a simple single-server queue and culminating with a transportation depot for package transfer and delivery. I have built all the models contained in this book with ExtendSim 8 LT, which limits the number of modeling blocks, but otherwise has the required ExtendSim 8 capabilities. ExtendSim 8 LT is not included in this book. Students may obtain ExtendSim 8 LT from Imagine That, Inc. at www.extendsim.com/ store/cart.php?target=category&category_id=3. ExtendSim 8 is a trademark of Imagine That, Inc.
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