Fremtidsprognoser, fremtidsstudier

A unifying worldview for conscious collaboration with contributions from Jude Currivan, Duane Elgin, Ervin Laszlo, Lynne Twist, Ken Wilber and fellow thought leaders.

The proposals in London of the Future aim to predict and prescribe how the metropolis might be governed, organized, and designed in years to come and to provoke debate among planners, architects, and developers not only in London but in all major cities throughout the world.Over the course of eighteen essays, experts in various fields - urbanism, architecture, engineering, manufacturing, futurology, journalism, and more - examine possibilities for reimagining and improving many aspects of the city. These writers consider changes both radical and minor that could shape London into a more resilient city and a fairer, healthier place to live. The architectural commentator Peter Murray provides an engaging introduction. Discussing some of the more interesting and, in some cases, eccentric proposals of the earlier book, he paves the way for an entirely new and up-to-date collection of ideas for the twenty-first century and beyond.The architectural critic and consultant Hugh Pearman ponders the dangers and uses of prediction while proposing that London be improved and made more liveable, rather than expanded and developed. The architect Carolyn Steel continues the focus on making the city a more pleasant place to live by discussing the future of its food supplies, considering the place of farming within the city's boundaries to spearhead urban renewal in a newly environmental age. The engineer Roma Agrawal advocates increasing cross-disciplinary understanding in the building and engineering world so that tomorrow's engineers can be curious without boundaries. Yvonne Farrell and Shelley McNamara of the architectural practice Grafton interrogate the meaning of permanence, and what London's inhabitants will need from their buildings.Urbanist Kat Hanna discusses the future of two of London's identities: the Central Business District and the Financial Services Hub.Mark Brearley, an architect and proprietor of a long-established London manufacturer, writes on the subject of the local high street and how the city is strengthened by these social, commercial hubs. Gillian Darley, a writer and historian, looks at the future of heritage and how the city's past can be conserved and contribute towards its future. Sarah Ichioka is an environmental and social consultant, and her approach focuses on the climate emergency and natural solutions to make the city more resilient. The architect Indy Johar puts forward radical ideas about the shift that is required of all London's inhabitants if the city is to transform itself for the future. Smith Mordak, an architect and engineer with Buro Happold, advocates for large infrastructural changes for sustainability. The cultural practitioner and writer Yasmin Jones-Henry, meanwhile, advocates for the value of cultural activities, powered by diversity.The theatre director Jude Kelly calls for London's broadly inclusive cultural past to be put at the center of future plans and imagines a place for AI in that future. Dame Baroness Lawrence, a campaigner who has promoted reforms in the police service, uses housing, education, policing, and racial equality to put forward her vision for a more equitable London. The journalist Anna Minton sets the extraordinarily high values of property in certain areas of the city against a crisis of social housing and the poor quality of low-income housing and asks how the problem of housing inequality can be solved.The architect Claire Bennie also examines how housing can be made fairer and available to more people. The futurologist Mark Stevenson imagines a commercial, building-focused solution to the problem of climate change.The journalist Tony Travers imagines London's future in relation to its survival of past crises. Neal Shashore, an architectural historian, focuses on the approach to educating future designers of the capital, to champion inclusivity and focus on the needs of people and communities.

Children today grow up in an increasingly volatile, complex and uncertain world. Theirs is a generation disempowered from steering their lives while society's systems are failing to provide the support they need. Yet, a country only prospers when its children - from all walks of life - thrive, meaning that the United Kingdom now faces some consequential choices. Raising the Nation builds a compelling case showing why we must nurture smart, strong and kind children to one day inherit the stewardship of society. Setting out big public policy ideas, enhanced by contributions from academic and campaigning experts, as well as those with lived experience, including London Mayor Sadiq Khan, singer and activist Charlotte Church, and ex-prime minister of Denmark and former CEO of Save the Children International Helle Thorning-Schmidt, this book is a manifesto to deliver our brightest possible future. Reframing political success, it shows why we must prioritise child-centred policies to ensure the future strength of our communities, environment and economy.

Michaela Glöckler beschreibt, dass wir die Kulmination des Materialismus als einen Durchgangspunkt verstehen können. Wir lernen in der Apokalypse des Johannes das Reich Ahrimans, des Drachens, der untermenschlich-tierischen Entwicklungsmöglichkeit kennen und auf der anderen Seite die Michael-Christus-Offenbarung. Und wir sind gefragt, uns frei zu entscheiden, in welche Richtung unser eigener Weg gehen soll. Rudolf Steiner beschreibt das Wesen der Trinität so, dass er sagt: Ahriman steht heute vor dem Vatergott. Wir müssen den Materialismus überwinden als eine Krankheit, um wirklich zum Vater hinzukommen und zu verstehen, dass diese Welt nicht ein Zufallsprodukt des materiellen Daseins ist, sondern »aus Gott geboren«.

A vision of the future of education in which the classroom experience is distributed across space and time without compromising learning.What if there were a model for learning in which the classroom experience was distributed across space and time--and students could still have the benefits of the traditional classroom, even if they can't be present physically or learn synchronously? In this book, two experts in online learning envision a future in which education from kindergarten through graduate school need not be tethered to a single physical classroom. The distributed classroom would neither sacrifice students' social learning experience nor require massive development resources. It goes beyond hybrid learning, so ubiquitous during the COVID-19 pandemic, and MOOCs, so trendy a few years ago, to reimagine the classroom itself.David Joyner and Charles Isbell, both of Georgia Tech, explain how recent developments, including distance learning and learning management systems, have paved the way for the distributed classroom. They propose that we dispense with the dichotomy between online and traditional education, and the assumption that online learning is necessarily inferior. They describe the distributed classroom's various delivery modes for in-person students, remote synchronous students, and remote asynchronous students; the goal would be a symmetry of experiences, with both students and teachers able to move from one mode to another. With The Distributed Classroom, Joyner and Isbell offer an optimistic, learner-centric view of the future of education, in which every person on earth is turned into a potential learner as barriers of cost, geography, and synchronicity disappear.

Why the United States lags behind other industrialized countries in sharing the benefits of innovation with workers and how we can remedy the problem.The United States has too many low-quality, low-wage jobs. Every country has its share, but those in the United States are especially poorly paid and often without benefits. Meanwhile, overall productivity increases steadily and new technology has transformed large parts of the economy, enhancing the skills and paychecks of higher paid knowledge workers. What’s wrong with this picture? Why have so many workers benefited so little from decades of growth? The Work of the Future shows that technology is neither the problem nor the solution. We can build better jobs if we create institutions that leverage technological innovation and also support workers though long cycles of technological transformation.Building on findings from the multiyear MIT Task Force on the Work of the Future, the book argues that we must foster institutional innovations that complement technological change. Skills programs that emphasize work-based and hybrid learning (in person and online), for example, empower workers to become and remain productive in a continuously evolving workplace. Industries fueled by new technology that augments workers can supply good jobs, and federal investment in R&D can help make these industries worker-friendly. We must act to ensure that the labor market of the future offers benefits, opportunity, and a measure of economic security to all.

Today, in the year 2038, we have mastered the great crises. It was close, but we made it. The global ecological, social and economic disasters of the 2020s brought people, states, institutions and companies together. They committed themselves to fundamental rights and jointly created viable, adaptable systems and legal frameworks on a planetary basis, giving decentralized, local structures the space to maintain and create highly diverse models of co-existing.Technology and big data helped us to turn new and old ideas into reality. And often architects were part of the solution because they had answers instead of coming up with more questions. Drama is now history. We live in a radical democracy, in a radical bureaucracy. On a planet that doesn't know or need heroes or villains.The anthology "2038 - The New Serenity" features contributions by Audrey Tang, Christopher Roth, Erica Love & João Enxutu, Erik Bordeleau, Evgeny Morozov, Hilary Mason, Jacob Eli Goldman, Jennifer Jacquet & Becca Franks, Joana Pope, Leif Randt, Ludwig Engel, Lukas Kubina, Mark Wigley, Michael Stoeppler, Mitch Joachim, Olaf Grawert, Suhail Malik, Tatiana Bilbao, terra0, and Tirdad Zolgahdr.2038 - German Pavilion at the 17th International Architecture Exhibition - La Biennale di Venezia

Our lives are increasingly spent online. Work, friends, games, reading - all are increasingly digital and virtual. Google Glass is next. How are these extraordinary changes affecting our brains, our minds and the way we think, talk and relate?Parents, scientists, doom-mongers and sociologists are among the many people speculating about what is going to become of us as we become increasingly absorbed by electronic media and ever more remote from our natural environment. Jack Huber is clear that what he calls 'the cyberous' is changing the whole way that our minds work. But he is also clear that we can't hope to understand the effects and implications fully without a better understanding of how the mind came to be what it is over the course of human evolution. So he takes us on a historical and biological tour of the human-mind-in-its-environment and focuses on three 'trajectories' in particular: 1)our capacity to recognise patterns (which includes our capacity to use and understand metaphor), 2) vision (which is much more than sight), 3)post-birth development.From there he looks at how our past will influence our future, giving us a glimpse of what collaboration with cyberous environments will bring to our minds and to 'self' in the future - a glimpse of what and who we will become.In doing so, he suggests three futures of the mind: 1) Unknowable mind, 2)Absentee mind, 3)Transcendent mind.Fascinating stuff! Is the future bright? You decide.

What methods may help human to create clever as well as creative ability? Human behavior or technology may help economic development? I shall indicate robot technology invention how to train human creative ability , also I shall explain whether robot tool may help human to improve economy development or help businessmen to reduce cost. Readers can make analysis whether robots may help human to bring long term economic benefits and improve ourselves ability and reduce cost for businesses.

... Mais, d'une part, l'Intelligence, d'autre part, la Force des choses ayant continué de développer les principes contraires dont chacune émanait, l'intelligence française au XIXe siècle poursuivait sa carrière d'ancienne reine détrônée, en se séparant de plus en plus de cette autre reine vaincue, la haute société française du même temps. Dès 1830, Sainte-Beuve l'a bien noté, les salons d'autrefois se ferment. C'est pour toujours. La France littéraire s'est isolée ou révoltée. Elle a pensé, songé, écrit, je ne dis pas toujours loin de la foule, mais toujours loin de son public naturel : tantôt comme si elle était indifférente à ce public et tantôt comme si elle lui était hostile. Le romantisme avait produit une littérature de cénacle ou de révolution...

The world is constantly changing. New scientific discoveries are frequently emerging. Jump into an exciting journey into the future and discover what the world is like in those days.The categories in this book include the future of:EconomyTechnologySpace explorationTransportationEnvironmentEntertainmentDemographicsAnd much more...The future scenarios for the year 2040 in this book are based on researched information and publications regarding the years leading up to 2040 and a few years beyond.

This monograph moves toward a stage theory of the uses of the future, deepening the Six Pillars framework and accompanying tools (scenarios, causal layered analysis, visioning) by inquiring which methods and tools are appropriate for which national, institutional, organizational and personal contexts. Seven stages are suggested. The first is perceived injustice - "it is not fair." The second is risk mitigation. The third is creating alternative futures. In this phase, the future is used to understand what happens if nothing changes, what happens if there is marginal change, what happens if there is adaptive change, and what happens when a different conceptualization of and access to power emerges. The fourth is directionality, the vision. The fifth is "making the vision real." The sixth is metaphor. In this phase, a narrative is created that helps move groups and individuals from the impossible to the powerful. The final state is personal and focused on using the mantra technique to transform the narrative. The entire process is designed for the context of the user, to enhance our ability to create justice in our perceived worlds, moving from one future to alternative futures, to the realization of preferred futures.

What if taxi drivers in New York City or rickshaw operators in Bangalore could start a worker-owned and-operated alternative to Uber with stable hourly wages?

Get the best from accelerating social change with the new book from the bestselling author of 2030 and "acclaimed thought leader" (Kirkus), Mauro Guillén. Adam Grant praises how the book "invites us to rethink our careers, our families, and our future plans." Find out why business leaders and bestselling authors around the world are calling the book "sharply relevant and necessary" (William P. Lauder), "insightful and deeply researched" (Richard Florida), and "A must read" (Mohammed A. El-Erian). In today's world, the acceleration of megatrends - increasing longevity and the explosion of technology among many others - are transforming life as we now know it.In The Perennials, bestselling author of 2030 Mauro Guillén unpacks a sweeping societal shift triggered by demographic and technological transformation. Guillén argues that outmoded terms like Boomers, Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z have long been used to pigeonhole us into rigid categories and life stages, artificially preventing people from reaching their full potential. A new postgenerational workforce known as "perennials" - individuals who are not pitted against each other either by their age or experience - makes it possible to liberate scores of people from the constraints of the sequential model of life and level the playing field so that everyone has a chance at living a rewarding life. Guillén unveils how this generational revolution will impact young people just entering the workforce as well as those who are living and working longer. This multigenerational revolution is already happening and Mauro Guillén identifies the specific cultural, organizational and policy changes that need to be made in order to switch to a new template and usher in a new era of innovation powered by the perennials.

"Sometimes the bravest thing we can do while facing an existential crisis is imagine life on the other side. This provocative and joyous book maps an inspiring landscape of possible climate futures. Through clear-eyed essays and vibrant conversations, infused with data, poetry, and art, Ayana Elizabeth Johnson guides us through solutions and possibilities at the nexus of science, policy, culture, and justice. Visionary farmers and financers, architects and advocates help us conjure a flourishing future, one worth the effort it will take-from all of us, with whatever we have to offer-to create. If you haven't yet been able to picture a transformed and replenished world-or see yourself, your loved ones, and your community in it- this book is for you. If you haven't yet found your role in shaping this new world, or you're not sure how we can actually get there, this book is for you. With grace, humor, and humanity, Ayana invites readers to ask and answer this ultimate question, together: What if we get it right?"--

Stories from the future of intelligent machines-from rescue drones to robot spouses-and accounts of cutting-edge research that could make it all possible.Tech prognosticators promised us robots-autonomous humanoids that could carry out any number of tasks. Instead, we have robot vacuum cleaners. But, as Dario Floreano and Nicola Nosengo report, advances in robotics could bring those rosy predictions closer to reality. A new generation of robots, directly inspired by the intelligence and bodies of living organisms, will be able not only to process data but to interact physically with humans and the environment. In this book, Floreano, a roboticist, and Nosengo, a science writer, bring us tales from the future of intelligent machines-from rescue drones to robot spouses-along with accounts of the cutting-edge research that could make it all possible. These stories from the not-so-distant future show us robots that can be used for mitigating effects of climate change, providing healthcare, working with humans on the factory floor, and more. Floreano and Nosengo tell us how an application of swarm robotics could protect Venice from flooding, how drones could reduce traffic on the congested streets of mega-cities like Hong Kong, and how a "e;long-term relationship model"e; robot could supply sex, love, and companionship. After each fictional scenario, they explain the technologies that underlie it, describing advances in such areas as soft robotics, swarm robotics, aerial and mobile robotics, humanoid robots, wearable robots, and even biohybrid robots based on living cells. Robotics technology is no silver bullet for all the world's problems-but it can help us tackle some of the most pressing challenges we face.

Making astrology accessible for everyone, Rosa Bingham's Fun Astrology will help you to learn the signs of the zodiac and gain a better understanding of the world around you.If you've always wanted to deepen your knowledge of astrology but are overwhelmed by the amount of information available, then this 1891 classic volume will help to steer you in the right direction. Rosa Bingham explains the zodiac in a clear and simple manner, making this the perfect astrology book for beginners. The chapters featured in this volume include:- The Influence of the Stars- The Nature of the Seven Planets- Of the Influences of the Seven Planets- Concerning the Twelve Houses- The Dragon's Head and the Dragon's Tail- Of the Influence of the Fixed Stars- The Effect of Each Planet- Concerning Directions and Horary Questions- Aphorisms Culled from the Works of Ptolemy

Zukunft avancierte in den westlichen Industriegesellschaften der 1950er bis 1970er Jahre zu einer zentralen wissenschaftlichen und politischen Kategorie. Im Zuge dessen formierte sich eine neue Wissenschaft - die Zukunftsforschung. Mit der preisgekronten Studie von Elke Seefried liegt die erste Gesamtdarstellung zum Thema vor. Seefried zeigt, wie die "e;westliche"e; Zukunftsforschung aus dem Systemwettlauf des Kalten Krieges und der Uberzeugung gerann, "e;Zukunfte"e; voraussagen und steuern zu konnen. Plastisch werden die Denkstile von Zukunftsforschern wie Daniel Bell, Herman Kahn oder Robert Jungk, transatlantische Netzwerke und die ambivalente Rolle der Zukunftsforschung in der politischen Planung herausgearbeitet. Einen Hohepunkt erreichte die Zukunftsforschung um 1970, als sie einen globalen Krisendiskurs um die "e;Grenzen des Wachstums"e; anfachte. Schlielich erklart das Buch, warum die Zukunftsforschung im Lauf der 1970er Jahre selbst in eine Krise geriet. Elke Seefried wurde 2014 fur diese Studie mit dem Carl-Erdmann-Preis des Verbandes der Historiker und Historikerinnen Deutschlands fur herausragende Habilitationsschriften ausgezeichnet.

We are living in an age of permanent crisis. Pandemics, war and climate change are just some of the unexpected yet predictable events shaping the world today. In this timely book, David Ridley examines how we collectively respond to these events, whether we face them bravely and intelligently or turn to nostalgia or utopianism. While politicians, corporations and intellectuals all fall prey to what Ridley calls «consolation», drawing on the work of John Dewey, a new generation is rising up to the challenge. Standing alongside teachers, posties, train drivers, refuse workers - young activists are part of an emerging, global movement saying «enough is enough»«This fiery, startling yet engaging polemic is an injunction to think and act together. Eschewing glib or easy answers, Ridley builds on his experiences as a political activist to think about how we got here, while visioning ahead to a near future of reaction, struggle and opportunity. Read this and be prepared to think it all again, upside down, inside-out ¿ together. Rip it up and start again.»(Dan Taylor, Lecturer in Social and Political Thought, Open University and author of the Orwell Prize shortlisted book Island Story: Journeys Through Unfamiliar Britain)«An essential resource for the resistance now growing.»(Hilary Wainwright, Red Pepper co-founder and author of Arguments for A New Left: Answering the Free Market Right)

One of Barack Obama's Recommended Reads for Summer “[A] brave and necessary book . . . Anyone interested in the future of liberal democracy, in the US or anywhere else, should read this book.” —Anne Applebaum“A convincing, humane, and hopeful guide to the present and future by one of our foremost democratic thinkers.” —George PackerFrom one of our sharpest political thinkers, a brilliant big-picture vision of how to bridge the bitter divides within diverse democraciesNever in history has a democracy succeeded in being both diverse and equal, treating different ethnic or religious groups fairly. And yet achieving that goal is now central to the democratic project. It is, Yascha Mounk argues, the greatest experiment of our time. Drawing on history, social psychology, and comparative politics, Mounk explains why we need to create a world in which our ascriptive identities come to matter less—not because we ignore global injustices, but because we have succeeded in addressing them.The Great Experiment is that rare book that offers both a profound understanding of an urgent problem and genuine hope for our human capacity to solve it. As Mounk contends, it is up to us and the institutions we build whether we come to see each other as strangers or compatriots. Giving up on the prospect of diverse democracies is simply not an option—and that is why we must strive to realize a more ambitious vision for the future of our societies.

I en fremtid, der er både grøn og retfærdig, er det en menneskeret at have tag over hovedet. Her er jobs fleksible og bæredygtige.Her er plads til et levende og lokalt landbrug og til en mangfoldig natur. Her er stærkt foreningsliv og demokrati. Her er sol og vind og bæredygtige uddannelser. Her handler Danmark på linje med klimavidenskaben og tager ansvar for sine CO2-udledninger.Her står ingen alene med konsekvenserne af klimakrisen.For al politik er klimapolitik. Så simpelt kan det siges.Igennem 14 forskellige områder viser Den Grønne Ungdomsbevægelse, hvordan det omstillede samfund kunne se ud, og hvordan vi kan skabe en grøn, retfærdig fremtid. Erklæringen er et vidnesbyrd om vores urokkelige forpligtelse til fremtiden og styrker det håb, vi har om at nå derhen.Vi håber, at den vil begejstre, inspirere og give mange lyst tilat engagere sig i det arbejde, der skal skabe vores fremtidige samfund.Den grønne omstilling har brug for en håbefuld historie for at få os igennem de udfordringer, vi står over for.En Grøn Retfærdig Fremtid er vores bud på de første kapitler af den historie.

Why do we have war, poverty, and other ills, when few want them? Competition, and the resulting scarcity and inequality. Surprisingly, AI and 3D printing technologies will actually make it easier for people to cooperate. Why can't we all just get along? We'll tell you. More importantly, 
we'll tell you how, if we play our cards right, we can.