Statistical forecast of global mean temperature change 2030. - Juan Carlos Gómez Méndez - Bog

Global warming has serious consequences for the environment and life on the planet, such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, altered weather patterns, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification and an increase in extreme weather events. To mitigate global warming, it is necessary to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adopt measures to adapt to climate change. This research conducted a characterization of the global mean temperature change variable, a normality test was applied to the data using the Shapiro Wilk analysis, and it was found that the global mean temperature change deviates slowly from the mean, The future projection using the least squares model year by year from 2023 to 2030 gave as a result that in 2024 the temperature of the planet will be at 1.3 °C and will increase until 2030 up to 1.5 °C resulting in, among many anomalies, loss of biodiversity, death of almost all the coral reefs, in summer the Arctic would have no ice, increase of the sea level by 40 meters.