CLIMATE CHANGE AND HEALTH: INFLUENCE OF WEATHER AND WATER - Sergey Myagkov - Bog

The research presents an analysis of the influence of the hydrochemical regime of rivers and canals on the health of the rural population. To compare medical statistics materials and observed values of the hydrochemical regime of surface waters in the Tashkent region, the method of nosogeographic analysis was used, and multivariate regression analysis was used to process observation materials. The results of assessing the risk of increased incidence are presented in the form of multivariate regression analysis equations with the corresponding determination coefficients. Overall, the coefficient of multiple determination is 0.38. More than 30% of all factors influencing the morbidity of the population depend on the hydrochemical regime of surface runoff, and the remaining 70% depend on other factors - genetic, medical care, conditions and lifestyle, and the general state of the environment. A new approach was used to assess the impact of water quality on the health of the rural population and the risk of morbidity. Based on this approach, it is possible to develop preventive measures to reduce the overall morbidity of the rural population.